Analytics
Trading ended on 18 Oct 2026 with the YIXUAN WANG side at 50%; Polymarket has not settled it yet.
Across the 9 daily closes on record from 11 Oct 2026 to 21 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the price held at 50%. A week before that last close the YIXUAN WANG side was at 50%.
It is one of 3 markets under “W15 Shenzhen: YIXUAN WANG vs Junjie Sun”.
$9.61 has traded since listing.
The largest YIXUAN WANG position is Swift Signal F1D2 with 19 shares; the largest Junjie Sun position is Swift Raven 75F4 with 29.
Polymarket record as of Oct 21, 4:50 PM UTC
Daily closes of the YIXUAN WANG price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 11 Oct 2026 – 21 Oct 2026, chart shows 45%–55%
| Observed | YIXUAN WANG price |
|---|---|
| 11 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
| 21 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Swift Raven 75F4 | Junjie Sun | 28.85 |
| Swift Signal F1D2 | YIXUAN WANG | 19.23 |
| ArbTraderRookie | YIXUAN WANG | 9.61 |
This market refers to the tennis match between YIXUAN WANG and Junjie Sun in the W15 Shenzhen, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'YIXUAN WANG' if YIXUAN WANG advances against Junjie Sun. This market will resolve to 'Junjie Sun' if Junjie Sun advances against YIXUAN WANG. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/itf-wang15-sun4-2026-10-11
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