
Resolved Marie Vogt on 22 Oct 2026.
$4.94K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 22, 3:51 PM UTC
6-hour closes of the Marie Vogt price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 22 Oct, 06:00 UTC, chart shows 76%–88%
| Observed | Marie Vogt price |
|---|---|
| 22 Oct, 06:00 UTC | 82.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Eminent-Pole | Baotong Xu | 1.59K |
| clownly | Baotong Xu | 600 |
| JourneyPM | Baotong Xu | 508.33 |
| CAcap | Baotong Xu | 355.53 |
| 0xbfD770B7ff0 | Baotong Xu | 127.85 |
| AJSV | Baotong Xu | 10.53 |
| sparklebears | Baotong Xu | 10 |
| davigrulke | Baotong Xu | 5.56 |
| Tricky-Gopher | Baotong Xu | 5.56 |
| TennisUnder | Baotong Xu | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Marie Vogt and Baotong Xu in the W35 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marie Vogt' if Marie Vogt advances against Baotong Xu. This market will resolve to 'Baotong Xu' if Baotong Xu advances against Marie Vogt. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/itf-vogt1-xu7-2026-10-22
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page