Analytics
Resolved David Simoncelli on 25 Oct 2026.
The last price read before settlement had David Simoncelli at 21.5%. The Noah Thurner side was at 55% at 25 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC, the earliest read in hand. Before it settled, across 2 price reads from 25 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC to 25 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC, the highest read was 78.5% on 25 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC and the lowest 55% on 25 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC. $2.7K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 25, 6:06 PM UTC
6-hour closes of the Noah Thurner price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 25 Oct, 06:00 UTC – 25 Oct, 12:00 UTC, chart shows 50%–90%
| Observed | Noah Thurner price |
|---|---|
| 25 Oct, 06:00 UTC | 55.0% |
| 25 Oct, 12:00 UTC | 78.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Immaterial-Gambling | Noah Thurner | 509.44 |
| babuinbob | Noah Thurner | 499.11 |
| AlexBorgner2 | Noah Thurner | 325 |
| mando88 | Noah Thurner | 289.22 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Noah Thurner and David Simoncelli in the M15 Selva Gardena, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Noah Thurner' if Noah Thurner advances against David Simoncelli. This market will resolve to 'David Simoncelli' if David Simoncelli advances against Noah Thurner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/itf-thurne2-simonc1-2026-10-25
| SVOIZLOI1996 | Noah Thurner | 200 |
| Vigilant-Environment | Noah Thurner | 123.42 |
| kitopesivan | Noah Thurner | 102.46 |
| 0xbfD770B7ff0 | Noah Thurner | 94.99 |
| bjp2hfg12 | Noah Thurner | 73.78 |
| iloveu4ever | Noah Thurner | 61.86 |
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