Analytics
Resolved Thea Frodin on 21 Oct 2026.
The last price read before settlement had Thea Frodin at 14%. The Sloane Stephens side was at 61% at 21 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC, the earliest read in hand. Before it settled, across 3 price reads from 21 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC to 21 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC, the highest read was 86% on 21 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC and the lowest 61% on 21 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC. $9.61K traded over the market's life.
21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 22, 7:56 PM UTC
6-hour closes of the Sloane Stephens price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 21 Oct, 06:00 UTC – 21 Oct, 18:00 UTC, chart shows 50%–100%
| Observed | Sloane Stephens price |
|---|---|
| 21 Oct, 06:00 UTC | 61.0% |
| 21 Oct, 18:00 UTC | 86.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Israel10 | Sloane Stephens | 3.89K |
| SOK0L | Sloane Stephens | 1.58K |
| danielbroe | Sloane Stephens | 1.15K |
| worldmastersviklissan | Sloane Stephens |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sloane Stephens and Thea Frodin in the W50 Austin, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sloane Stephens' if Sloane Stephens advances against Thea Frodin. This market will resolve to 'Thea Frodin' if Thea Frodin advances against Sloane Stephens. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/itf-stephe2-frodin1-2026-10-21
| 1K |
| suriman | Sloane Stephens | 611 |
| BarronTrumpRealOne | Sloane Stephens | 208.33 |
| Vigilant-Environment | Sloane Stephens | 114 |
| Misty Atlas 1441 | Sloane Stephens | 92.59 |
| neutralwave23 | Sloane Stephens | 89.58 |
| sara341 | Sloane Stephens | 56 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
