Analytics
Resolved Eli Stephenson on 16 Oct 2026.
$2.9K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 16, 11:15 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Eli Stephenson price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 16 Oct 2026, chart shows 90%–100%
| Observed | Eli Stephenson price |
|---|---|
| 16 Oct 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Vigilant-Environment | Nicolas Arseneault | 572.02 |
| Quiet Vector E330 | Nicolas Arseneault | 488.8 |
| Quiet Vector 67A1 | Nicolas Arseneault | 159.57 |
| kitopesivan | Nicolas Arseneault | 139.71 |
| NeedForDead | Nicolas Arseneault | 59.62 |
| Shameless-Agriculture-Worth | Nicolas Arseneault | 15.6 |
| Azure Falcon 3680 | Nicolas Arseneault | 10.64 |
| DZ.001 | Nicolas Arseneault | 9.62 |
| Tattered-Option | Nicolas Arseneault | 2 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Eli Stephenson and Nicolas Arseneault in the M15 Lexington, KY, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 12:02AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Eli Stephenson' if Eli Stephenson advances against Nicolas Arseneault. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Arseneault' if Nicolas Arseneault advances against Eli Stephenson. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/itf-stephe1-arsene2-2026-10-15
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