Analytics
The Luca Staeheli side is at 97.5%, up 22 points from 75% when the market opened on 23 Oct 2026.
Across the 2 daily closes on record from 23 Oct 2026 to 23 Oct 2026, the highest close was 97.5% on 23 Oct 2026 and the lowest 75% on 23 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 22 points up, to 97.5% on 23 Oct 2026.
It is one of 2 markets under “M15 Shenzhen: Luca Staeheli vs Daniil Sarksian”.
$1.61K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $1.58K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 31 trades, $1.2K bought Luca Staeheli and $12.63 bought Daniil Sarksian.
The largest Luca Staeheli position is chaeri with 568 shares; the largest Daniil Sarksian position is clownly with 600. Ten wallets hold 82.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 30 Oct 2026, 7 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 5:38 AM UTC
The paper ticket needs a verified Yes / No pair, which this market does not have here.
Open in PredictionsDaily closes of the Luca Staeheli price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 23 Oct 2026 – 23 Oct 2026, chart shows 70%–100%
| Observed | Luca Staeheli price |
|---|---|
| 23 Oct 2026 | 75.0% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 97.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| clownly | Daniil Sarksian | 600 |
| chaeri | Luca Staeheli | 567.88 |
| Solar Vector 8F45 | Daniil Sarksian | 233.55 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Staeheli and Daniil Sarksian in the M15 Shenzhen, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luca Staeheli' if Luca Staeheli advances against Daniil Sarksian. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Sarksian' if Daniil Sarksian advances against Luca Staeheli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/itf-staehe1-sarksi1-2026-10-23
| topdogbigboi | Daniil Sarksian | 184.31 |
| 38791873984189 | Daniil Sarksian | 126.39 |
| smithagent | Luca Staeheli | 120 |
| kitopesivan | Luca Staeheli | 115.61 |
| Devoted-Release | Luca Staeheli | 103.01 |
| Strict-Gather | Luca Staeheli | 57.37 |
| 0xbfD770B7ff0 | Luca Staeheli | 56.17 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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