Analytics
Resolved Ksenia Smirnova on 29 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Ksenia Smirnova at 42%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 28 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 28 May 2026 to 29 May 2026, the highest close was 58% on 29 May 2026 and the lowest 50.5% on 28 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 7.5 points up, to 58% on 29 May 2026. $1.09K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 30, 10:39 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 28 May 2026 – 29 May 2026, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 May 2026 | 50.5% |
| 29 May 2026 | 58.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| gavgavgav | Elizaveta Gurianova | 333 |
| poshposh | Elizaveta Gurianova | 66.57 |
| Broken-Ford | Elizaveta Gurianova | 7.14 |
| Pleasing-Yawl | Elizaveta Gurianova |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ksenia Smirnova and Elizaveta Gurianova in the ITF Women Kayseri, originally scheduled for May 28, 2026 at 5:15AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ksenia Smirnova' if Ksenia Smirnova advances against Elizaveta Gurianova. This market will resolve to 'Elizaveta Gurianova' if Elizaveta Gurianova advances against Ksenia Smirnova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/itf-smirnov-guriano-2026-05-28
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