Analytics
Resolved Ariana Arseneault on 15 Oct 2026.
The last price read before settlement had Ariana Arseneault at 58%. The Madison Sieg side was at 41.5% at 15 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC, the earliest read in hand. Before it settled, across 2 price reads from 15 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC to 15 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC, the highest read was 42% on 15 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC and the lowest 41.5% on 15 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC. $32.37K traded over the market's life.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 16, 6:57 PM UTC
6-hour closes of the Madison Sieg price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 15 Oct, 06:00 UTC – 15 Oct, 12:00 UTC, chart shows 35%–50%
| Observed | Madison Sieg price |
|---|---|
| 15 Oct, 06:00 UTC | 41.5% |
| 15 Oct, 12:00 UTC | 42.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| omnibus-076daa | Madison Sieg | 7.02K |
| topdogbigboi | Madison Sieg | 1.16K |
| Juan12345678 | Madison Sieg | 709.53 |
| lomatic | Madison Sieg | 198 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Madison Sieg and Ariana Arseneault in the W50 Quebec City, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Madison Sieg' if Madison Sieg advances against Ariana Arseneault. This market will resolve to 'Ariana Arseneault' if Ariana Arseneault advances against Madison Sieg. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/itf-sieg1-arsene1-2026-10-15
| UpTheBlues | Madison Sieg | 77.5 |
| Swift Signal F1D2 | Madison Sieg | 50.85 |
| lostwo1f | Madison Sieg | 45.47 |
| Liquid-Leaf-Nun | Madison Sieg | 40 |
| bahn-cuon-baby | Madison Sieg | 31.21 |
| sweise | Madison Sieg | 22.76 |
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