Analytics
Resolved Alessandra Mazzola on 14 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Alessandra Mazzola at 99%. The Sofia Shapatava side opened at 28.5% on 7 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 7 Oct 2026 to 14 Oct 2026, the highest close was 50% on 10 Oct 2026 and the lowest 1% on 8 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 49 points up, to 50% on 10 Oct 2026. $499.23 traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 14, 5:30 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Sofia Shapatava price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 7 Oct 2026 – 14 Oct 2026
| Observed | Sofia Shapatava price |
|---|---|
| 7 Oct 2026 | 28.5% |
| 14 Oct 2026 | 1.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ferrariChampions2026 | Sofia Shapatava | 170.78 |
| Vigilant-Environment | Sofia Shapatava | 52.62 |
| NeedForDead | Sofia Shapatava | 33.7 |
| ezp-gk-16 | Sofia Shapatava |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sofia Shapatava and Alessandra Mazzola in the W35 Santa Margherita di Pula, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sofia Shapatava' if Sofia Shapatava advances against Alessandra Mazzola. This market will resolve to 'Alessandra Mazzola' if Alessandra Mazzola advances against Sofia Shapatava. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/itf-shapat1-mazzol2-2026-10-07
| 16 |
| chusa | Sofia Shapatava | 7 |
| RadioFreeZerg | Sofia Shapatava | 5 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
