Analytics
Resolved Nicolas Hollender on 13 Oct 2026.
The last price read before settlement had Nicolas Hollender at 100%. The Manuel Mouilleron Salvo side was at 84% at 13 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC, the earliest read in hand. Before it settled, across 3 price reads from 13 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC to 13 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC, the highest read was 86.5% on 13 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC and the lowest 0.1% on 13 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. $2.96K traded over the market's life.
27 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 14, 5:22 PM UTC
6-hour closes of the Manuel Mouilleron Salvo price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 13 Oct, 06:00 UTC – 13 Oct, 18:00 UTC
| Observed | Manuel Mouilleron Salvo price |
|---|---|
| 13 Oct, 06:00 UTC | 84.0% |
| 13 Oct, 18:00 UTC | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| netvsee | Manuel Mouilleron Salvo | 600 |
| Vigilant-Environment | Manuel Mouilleron Salvo | 520.2 |
| MatrixAttack | Manuel Mouilleron Salvo | 333.89 |
| Immaterial-Gambling | Manuel Mouilleron Salvo |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Manuel Mouilleron Salvo and Nicolas Hollender in the M15 Quito, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Manuel Mouilleron Salvo' if Manuel Mouilleron Salvo advances against Nicolas Hollender. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Hollender' if Nicolas Hollender advances against Manuel Mouilleron Salvo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/itf-salvo1-hollen1-2026-10-13
| 161.2 |
| heytimo | Manuel Mouilleron Salvo | 138 |
| Nelitsepriyatniy | Manuel Mouilleron Salvo | 131.67 |
| kitopesivan | Manuel Mouilleron Salvo | 118.63 |
| assasin5002 | Manuel Mouilleron Salvo | 73.01 |
| ezp-gk-16 | Manuel Mouilleron Salvo | 57 |
| sara341 | Manuel Mouilleron Salvo | 55 |
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