Analytics
Resolved Hayu Kinoshita on 22 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Hayu Kinoshita at 68%. Yes opened at 32.5% on 21 May 2026. Before it settled, the high was 32.5% on 21 May 2026 and the low 32% on 22 May 2026. $11.66K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 23, 7:53 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 2 points · 21 May 2026 – 22 May 2026 · axis zoomed to 25%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 May 2026 | 32.5% |
| 22 May 2026 | 32.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Maximilianthorius | Sara Saito | 64.99 |
| 3Tauros3 | Sara Saito | 51.52 |
| igkblglutinat | Sara Saito | 34.99 |
| eryr54 | Sara Saito | 24 |
| LuckyLoo | Sara Saito | 17.65 |
| zxcursed121 | Sara Saito | 13.01 |
| Past-Misrepresentation | Sara Saito | 10 |
| 0xSPBB | Sara Saito | 5.83 |
| Scarce-Tide | Sara Saito | 5 |
| x676 | Hayu Kinoshita | 0.1 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Sara Saito and Hayu Kinoshita in the ITF Women Takasaki, originally scheduled for May 21, 2026 at 12:15AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sara Saito' if Sara Saito advances against Hayu Kinoshita. This market will resolve to 'Hayu Kinoshita' if Hayu Kinoshita advances against Sara Saito. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/itf-saito-kinoshi-2026-05-21
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