
Resolved Adrian Oetzbach on 19 Aug 2026.
$4.99K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 20, 12:37 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Manuel Plunger price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 19 Aug 2026, chart shows 22%–34%
| Observed | Manuel Plunger price |
|---|---|
| 19 Aug 2026 | 28.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| bravewarriorrrrrr | Manuel Plunger | 600 |
| twentys | Manuel Plunger | 200 |
| cancan32 | Manuel Plunger | 96 |
| hii7 | Manuel Plunger | 47.6 |
| Hard-Lettuce | Manuel Plunger | 28.88 |
| Decent-External | Manuel Plunger | 27.03 |
| vardaman-bundren | Manuel Plunger | 21.72 |
| locatedMMM | Manuel Plunger | 10 |
| Ivory Orbit 84FA | Manuel Plunger | 7.78 |
| Bright Lynx 5450 | Manuel Plunger | 7.78 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Manuel Plunger and Adrian Oetzbach in the ITF M25 Ueberlingen Men, originally scheduled for August 19, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Manuel Plunger' if Manuel Plunger advances against Adrian Oetzbach. This market will resolve to 'Adrian Oetzbach' if Adrian Oetzbach advances against Manuel Plunger. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/itf-plunger-oetzbac-2026-08-19
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page