Analytics
Resolved Benjamin Lock on 2 Oct 2026.
$1.58K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 3, 11:55 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Manuel Plunger price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 2 Oct 2026, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | Manuel Plunger price |
|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2026 | 53.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Pan9X | Manuel Plunger | 60 |
| hii7 | Manuel Plunger | 59.75 |
| 2themooooon | Manuel Plunger | 41.58 |
| Liquid-Leaf-Nun | Manuel Plunger | 5 |
| chusa | Manuel Plunger | 5 |
| gusishere | Manuel Plunger | 2.2 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Manuel Plunger and Benjamin Lock in the M25 Kigali, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 2, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Manuel Plunger' if Manuel Plunger advances against Benjamin Lock. This market will resolve to 'Benjamin Lock' if Benjamin Lock advances against Manuel Plunger. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/itf-plunge1-lock2-2026-10-02
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