Analytics
Trading ended on 11 Oct 2026 with Yes at 47.5%; Polymarket has not settled it yet.
Across the 20 daily closes on record from 4 Oct 2026 to 25 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 53.5% on 4 Oct 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 5 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 2%. Its largest one-day move was 53 points down, to 0.1% on 5 Oct 2026.
$936.06 has traded since listing.
The largest Yes position is keelyford with 306 shares; the largest No position is gotozer0 with 471.
Polymarket record as of Oct 24, 12:30 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 20 points, 4 Oct 2026 – 25 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Oct 2026 | 53.5% |
| 25 Oct 2026 | 47.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| gotozer0 | No | 470.53 |
| keelyford | Yes | 305.54 |
| chipotli | Yes | 105 |
| FlyingSabra | Yes | 19.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Petrov and Samuel Garcia Hernandez in the M15 Pontevedra, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if all games and sets required to determine a match winner under governing body or event organizer rules are played to completion through normal play. Otherwise, if the match is not completed for any reason, it will resolve to "No." If a forfeit of any kind occurs, including but not limited to a walkover or retirement, this market will resolve "No." If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/itf-petrov1-hernan2-2026-10-04
| bestAI | Yes | 15 |
| bobo888555 | Yes | 10 |
| Wasteful-Rush | Yes | 5 |
| gogogo-v3 | Yes | 5 |
| Swift Beacon C7B6 | Yes | 5 |
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