
Resolved Joao Rasgado on 18 Oct 2026.
$453.41 traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 19, 10:43 AM UTC
6-hour closes of the Afonso Oliveira price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 18 Oct, 06:00 UTC, chart shows 45%–55%
| Observed | Afonso Oliveira price |
|---|---|
| 18 Oct, 06:00 UTC | 50.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| CandleHammerDrums | Afonso Oliveira | 148.5 |
| legendofanime | Afonso Oliveira | 127.94 |
| ferrariChampions2026 | Afonso Oliveira | 34.1 |
| poshposh | Afonso Oliveira | 13.12 |
| therealdeal2 | Joao Rasgado | 0.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Afonso Oliveira and Joao Rasgado in the M25 Luanda, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Afonso Oliveira' if Afonso Oliveira advances against Joao Rasgado. This market will resolve to 'Joao Rasgado' if Joao Rasgado advances against Afonso Oliveira. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/itf-olivei3-rasgad1-2026-10-18
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page