Analytics
Resolved Omar Jasika on 8 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Omar Jasika at 77%. Yes opened at 28.5% on 7 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 7 Jul 2026 to 8 Jul 2026, the highest close was 28.5% on 7 Jul 2026 and the lowest 23% on 8 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 5.5 points down, to 23% on 8 Jul 2026. $4.38K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 9, 1:26 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 7 Jul 2026 – 8 Jul 2026, chart shows 20%–32%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Jul 2026 | 28.5% |
| 8 Jul 2026 | 23.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Honorable-Stepson | Kosuke Ogura | 735.02 |
| poshposh | Kosuke Ogura | 570.69 |
| Salty-Pacemaker | Kosuke Ogura | 103.79 |
| lomatic | Kosuke Ogura | 78.9 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kosuke Ogura and Omar Jasika in the ITF Men Tokyo, originally scheduled for July 7, 2026 at 3:15AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kosuke Ogura' if Kosuke Ogura advances against Omar Jasika. This market will resolve to 'Omar Jasika' if Omar Jasika advances against Kosuke Ogura. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/itf-ogura-jasika-2026-07-07
| AVIAD62363 | Kosuke Ogura | 50 |
| triklozoid | Kosuke Ogura | 20 |
| Impish-Race | Kosuke Ogura | 13.58 |
| junyanzhong | Kosuke Ogura | 13.03 |
| chonges | Kosuke Ogura | 6.67 |
| RadioFreeZerg | Kosuke Ogura | 2.93 |
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