Analytics
Resolved Arvid Nordquist on 14 Oct 2026.
$3.25K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 15, 11:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Arvid Nordquist price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 14 Oct 2026, chart shows 78%–90%
| Observed | Arvid Nordquist price |
|---|---|
| 14 Oct 2026 | 84.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ferrariChampions2026 | Noah Thurner | 1.14K |
| CandleHammerDrums | Noah Thurner | 565.01 |
| clownly | Noah Thurner | 86.6 |
| gusishere | Noah Thurner | 20 |
| stkomeghivott | Noah Thurner | 12.94 |
| profitlaw | Noah Thurner | 9.38 |
| mymilly | Noah Thurner | 5.37 |
| jackccstream | Noah Thurner | 5 |
| vardaman-bundren | Noah Thurner | 3.83 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Arvid Nordquist and Noah Thurner in the M15 Szabolcsveresmart, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arvid Nordquist' if Arvid Nordquist advances against Noah Thurner. This market will resolve to 'Noah Thurner' if Noah Thurner advances against Arvid Nordquist. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/itf-nordqu1-thurne2-2026-10-14
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