Analytics
Resolved Lara Wasserfuhr on 26 Oct 2026.
The last price read before settlement had Lara Wasserfuhr at 49.5%. The Alina Nesmianovych side was at 38.5% at 26 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC, the earliest read in hand. Before it settled, across 2 price reads from 26 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC to 26 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC, the highest read was 50.5% on 26 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC and the lowest 38.5% on 26 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC. $707.7 traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 26, 4:15 PM UTC
6-hour closes of the Alina Nesmianovych price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 26 Oct, 06:00 UTC – 26 Oct, 12:00 UTC, chart shows 35%–55%
| Observed | Alina Nesmianovych price |
|---|---|
| 26 Oct, 06:00 UTC | 38.5% |
| 26 Oct, 12:00 UTC | 50.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ferrariChampions2026 | Alina Nesmianovych | 45 |
| 0x1111111111 | Alina Nesmianovych | 5.74 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alina Nesmianovych and Lara Wasserfuhr in the W15 Essen, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alina Nesmianovych' if Alina Nesmianovych advances against Lara Wasserfuhr. This market will resolve to 'Lara Wasserfuhr' if Lara Wasserfuhr advances against Alina Nesmianovych. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/itf-nesmia1-wasser2-2026-10-26
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