Analytics
Resolved Arthur Nagel on 24 Oct 2026.
The last price read before settlement had Arthur Nagel at 28%. The Arthur Nagel side was at 23.5% at 23 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC, the earliest read in hand. Before it settled, across 2 price reads from 23 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC to 24 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC, the highest read was 28% on 24 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC and the lowest 23.5% on 23 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. $2.62K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 24, 2:52 PM UTC
6-hour closes of the Arthur Nagel price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 23 Oct, 18:00 UTC – 24 Oct, 06:00 UTC, chart shows 20%–32%
| Observed | Arthur Nagel price |
|---|---|
| 23 Oct, 18:00 UTC | 23.5% |
| 24 Oct, 06:00 UTC | 28.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| omnibus-076daa | Maximilian Marterer | 1.21K |
| ferrariChampions2026 | Maximilian Marterer | 427.32 |
| ferdinand2 | Maximilian Marterer | 97.52 |
| Solid-Personnel-Characterization | Maximilian Marterer |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Nagel and Maximilian Marterer in the M25 Sarreguemines, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Nagel' if Arthur Nagel advances against Maximilian Marterer. This market will resolve to 'Maximilian Marterer' if Maximilian Marterer advances against Arthur Nagel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/itf-nagel1-marter1-2026-10-24
| 57.87 |
| Swift Signal F1D2 | Maximilian Marterer | 13.33 |
| 1MillionInc-v1 | Maximilian Marterer | 10 |
| TinaGoat | Maximilian Marterer | 9.18 |
| sparklebears | Maximilian Marterer | 5 |
| xyesos22811 | Maximilian Marterer | 5 |
| Sauron1992 | Maximilian Marterer | 2.38 |
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