Analytics
Resolved Ella McDonald on 22 Oct 2026.
The last price read before settlement had Ella McDonald at 75%. The Ella McDonald side was at 75% at 22 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC, the earliest read in hand. Before it settled, across 2 price reads from 22 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC to 22 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC, the price held at 75%. $4.3K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 22, 11:22 PM UTC
6-hour closes of the Ella McDonald price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 22 Oct, 06:00 UTC – 22 Oct, 12:00 UTC, chart shows 70%–80%
| Observed | Ella McDonald price |
|---|---|
| 22 Oct, 06:00 UTC | 75.0% |
| 22 Oct, 12:00 UTC | 75.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Dismal-Sousaphone | Rebecca Munk Mortensen | 1.22K |
| 0xakwz | Rebecca Munk Mortensen | 100 |
| vsbetka | Rebecca Munk Mortensen | 65.71 |
| ferrariChampions2026 | Rebecca Munk Mortensen |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ella McDonald and Rebecca Munk Mortensen in the W50 Austin, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ella McDonald' if Ella McDonald advances against Rebecca Munk Mortensen. This market will resolve to 'Rebecca Munk Mortensen' if Rebecca Munk Mortensen advances against Ella McDonald. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/itf-mcdona2-morten1-2026-10-22
| 56.15 |
| 0ooo0o0o0oo0o0 | Rebecca Munk Mortensen | 44.42 |
| jmp123 | Rebecca Munk Mortensen | 28.07 |
| stkomeghivott | Rebecca Munk Mortensen | 20 |
| bahn-cuon-baby | Rebecca Munk Mortensen | 15.34 |
| jackccstream | Rebecca Munk Mortensen | 10 |
| qwewqqeq | Rebecca Munk Mortensen | 5 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
