Analytics
Resolved Lucas Andrade Da Silva on 17 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Lucas Andrade Da Silva at 82%. The Mwendwa Mbithi side opened at 25.5% on 17 Oct 2026. Before it settled, the high was 25.5% on 17 Oct 2026 and the low 18% on 17 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 7.5 points down, to 18% on 17 Oct 2026. $6.41K traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 18, 5:03 PM UTC
6-hour closes of the Mwendwa Mbithi price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 17 Oct, 06:00 UTC – 17 Oct, 12:00 UTC, chart shows 15%–30%
| Observed | Mwendwa Mbithi price |
|---|---|
| 17 Oct, 06:00 UTC | 25.5% |
| 17 Oct, 12:00 UTC | 18.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Eminent-Pole | Mwendwa Mbithi | 2K |
| clownly | Mwendwa Mbithi | 599.99 |
| ferrariChampions2026 | Mwendwa Mbithi | 109.98 |
| UpTheBlues | Mwendwa Mbithi |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Mwendwa Mbithi and Lucas Andrade Da Silva in the M15 Quito, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mwendwa Mbithi' if Mwendwa Mbithi advances against Lucas Andrade Da Silva. This market will resolve to 'Lucas Andrade Da Silva' if Lucas Andrade Da Silva advances against Mwendwa Mbithi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/itf-mbithi1-silva11-2026-10-17
| 87 |
| pgktrio2 | Mwendwa Mbithi | 24 |
| noclevername | Mwendwa Mbithi | 23.89 |
| andrealfieri | Mwendwa Mbithi | 23.8 |
| stkomeghivott | Mwendwa Mbithi | 20 |
| jackccstream | Mwendwa Mbithi | 15 |
| Sharpgirl | Mwendwa Mbithi | 11.11 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
