Analytics
Resolved Lui Maxted on 15 Oct 2026.
The last price read before settlement had Lui Maxted at 54.5%. The Lui Maxted side was at 51% at 15 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC, the earliest read in hand. Before it settled, across 2 price reads from 15 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC to 15 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC, the highest read was 54.5% on 15 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC and the lowest 51% on 15 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC. $447.88 traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 16, 6:57 PM UTC
6-hour closes of the Lui Maxted price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 15 Oct, 06:00 UTC – 15 Oct, 12:00 UTC, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | Lui Maxted price |
|---|---|
| 15 Oct, 06:00 UTC | 51.0% |
| 15 Oct, 12:00 UTC | 54.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| topdogbigboi | Roger Pascual Ferra | 100 |
| ferrariChampions2026 | Roger Pascual Ferra | 53.19 |
| Pan9X | Roger Pascual Ferra | 37 |
| Liquid-Leaf-Nun | Roger Pascual Ferra |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lui Maxted and Roger Pascual Ferra in the M25 Austin, TX, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lui Maxted' if Lui Maxted advances against Roger Pascual Ferra. This market will resolve to 'Roger Pascual Ferra' if Roger Pascual Ferra advances against Lui Maxted. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/itf-maxted1-ferra1-2026-10-15
| 32.53 |
| clownly | Roger Pascual Ferra | 29.99 |
| Swift Signal F1D2 | Roger Pascual Ferra | 24.56 |
| 0x1235651 | Roger Pascual Ferra | 20 |
| felicestigres | Roger Pascual Ferra | 10.87 |
| yuiui1025 | Roger Pascual Ferra | 10 |
| kogurt | Roger Pascual Ferra | 9.6 |
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