Analytics
Resolved Yes on 27 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 48%. Yes opened at 57% on 26 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 26 May 2026 to 27 May 2026, the highest close was 57% on 26 May 2026 and the lowest 48% on 27 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 9 points down, to 48% on 27 May 2026.
Polymarket record as of May 27, 4:49 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 26 May 2026 – 27 May 2026, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 May 2026 | 57.0% |
| 27 May 2026 | 48.0% |
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This market refers to the tennis match between Rinko Matsuda and Tsuki Shibutani in the ITF Women Fukui, originally scheduled for May 26, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rinko Matsuda' if Rinko Matsuda advances against Tsuki Shibutani. This market will resolve to 'Tsuki Shibutani' if Tsuki Shibutani advances against Rinko Matsuda. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/itf-matsud-shibuta-2026-05-27
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