Analytics
Resolved Sam Kydd Baumgartner on 26 Oct 2026.
The last price read before settlement had Sam Kydd Baumgartner at 100%. The Tomohiro Masabayashi side was at 46.5% at 25 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC, the earliest read in hand. Before it settled, across 2 price reads from 25 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC to 26 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC, the highest read was 46.5% on 25 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC and the lowest 0.1% on 26 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC. $163.96 traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 26, 3:06 PM UTC
6-hour closes of the Tomohiro Masabayashi price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 25 Oct, 18:00 UTC – 26 Oct, 06:00 UTC
| Observed | Tomohiro Masabayashi price |
|---|---|
| 25 Oct, 18:00 UTC | 46.5% |
| 26 Oct, 06:00 UTC | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ferrariChampions2026 | Tomohiro Masabayashi | 100 |
| stable-winner | Tomohiro Masabayashi | 20 |
| RadioFreeZerg | Tomohiro Masabayashi | 9.96 |
| tjab0n | Tomohiro Masabayashi |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tomohiro Masabayashi and Sam Kydd Baumgartner in the M15 Singapore, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tomohiro Masabayashi' if Tomohiro Masabayashi advances against Sam Kydd Baumgartner. This market will resolve to 'Sam Kydd Baumgartner' if Sam Kydd Baumgartner advances against Tomohiro Masabayashi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/itf-masaba1-baumga1-2026-10-26
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