
Resolved Giovanni Oradini on 22 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Giovanni Oradini at 46%. The Juan Cruz Martin Manzano side opened at 58% on 21 Aug 2026. Before it settled, the high was 58% on 21 Aug 2026 and the low 54% on 22 Aug 2026. $2.15K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 23, 12:57 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Juan Cruz Martin Manzano price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 21 Aug 2026 – 22 Aug 2026, chart shows 50%–62%
| Observed | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano price |
|---|---|
| 21 Aug 2026 | 58.0% |
| 22 Aug 2026 | 54.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| cucurellapaella | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano | 198.27 |
| Disguised-Pickax-Fetus | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano | 154.33 |
| spreadmuncher | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano | 21 |
| d8c6 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano | 5 |
| rocketcrypto | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano | 5 |
| qrup | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano | 5 |
| triklozoid | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano | 5 |
| zusu | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano | 1.75 |
| mathacewa | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano | 1.71 |
| User7429 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano | 0.07 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Juan Cruz Martin Manzano and Giovanni Oradini in the ITF M25 Lesa Men, originally scheduled for August 20, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Juan Cruz Martin Manzano' if Juan Cruz Martin Manzano advances against Giovanni Oradini. This market will resolve to 'Giovanni Oradini' if Giovanni Oradini advances against Juan Cruz Martin Manzano. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/itf-manzano-oradini-2026-08-20
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