Analytics
Resolved Lucia Natal on 9 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Lucia Natal at 23%. The Sophie Luescher side opened at 53% on 8 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 8 Jul 2026 to 9 Jul 2026, the highest close was 77% on 9 Jul 2026 and the lowest 53% on 8 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 24 points up, to 77% on 9 Jul 2026. $5.88K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 10, 10:48 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Sophie Luescher price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 8 Jul 2026 – 9 Jul 2026, chart shows 40%–90%
| Observed | Sophie Luescher price |
|---|---|
| 8 Jul 2026 | 53.0% |
| 9 Jul 2026 | 77.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Lined-Sardine-Alpenhorn | Sophie Luescher | 138.89 |
| Yaba-559 | Sophie Luescher | 45.07 |
| Tennissharpie | Sophie Luescher | 20 |
| triklozoid | Sophie Luescher |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sophie Luescher and Lucia Natal in the ITF Women Kursumlijska Banja, originally scheduled for July 8, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sophie Luescher' if Sophie Luescher advances against Lucia Natal. This market will resolve to 'Lucia Natal' if Lucia Natal advances against Sophie Luescher. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/itf-luesche-natal-2026-07-08
| 20 |
| hcrypto98765b | Sophie Luescher | 10.96 |
| NeedForDead | Sophie Luescher | 10 |
| safeforever | Sophie Luescher | 8.62 |
| Misty Lynx B99B | Sophie Luescher | 4.8 |
| Belated-Trip | Sophie Luescher | 3.51 |
| Harsh-Ore-Grandpa | Sophie Luescher | 3.17 |
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