Analytics
Resolved Vivian Yang on 25 Oct 2026.
The last price read before settlement had Vivian Yang at 100%. The Raphaelle Lacasse side was at 50% at 25 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC, the earliest read in hand. Before it settled, across 3 price reads from 25 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC to 25 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC, the highest read was 56% on 25 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC and the lowest 0.1% on 25 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. $8.2K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 25, 6:44 PM UTC
6-hour closes of the Raphaelle Lacasse price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 25 Oct, 06:00 UTC – 25 Oct, 18:00 UTC
| Observed | Raphaelle Lacasse price |
|---|---|
| 25 Oct, 06:00 UTC | 50.0% |
| 25 Oct, 18:00 UTC | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| anon122 | Raphaelle Lacasse | 2.23K |
| Fuzzy-Patience-Parent | Raphaelle Lacasse | 1.87K |
| MatrixAttack | Raphaelle Lacasse | 66.66 |
| 0xbfD770B7ff0 | Raphaelle Lacasse |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Raphaelle Lacasse and Vivian Yang in the W75 Toronto, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Raphaelle Lacasse' if Raphaelle Lacasse advances against Vivian Yang. This market will resolve to 'Vivian Yang' if Vivian Yang advances against Raphaelle Lacasse. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/itf-lacass1-yang14-2026-10-25
| 61.72 |
| gusishere | Raphaelle Lacasse | 20 |
| smithagent | Raphaelle Lacasse | 6.23 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
