Analytics
Resolved Takuya Kumasaka on 17 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Takuya Kumasaka at 26.5%. Yes opened at 74% on 16 Jun 2026. Before it settled, the high was 74% on 16 Jun 2026 and the low 73.5% on 17 Jun 2026. $5.11K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 18, 10:05 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 2 points · 16 Jun 2026 – 17 Jun 2026 · axis zoomed to 68%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Jun 2026 | 74.0% |
| 17 Jun 2026 | 73.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| lomatic | Yuki Mochizuki | 1.5K |
| Lavincey | Yuki Mochizuki | 206.45 |
| Impish-Race | Yuki Mochizuki | 112.67 |
| triklozoid | Yuki Mochizuki | 50 |
| SVMK1 | Yuki Mochizuki | 40.69 |
| Royal Kestrel 3F02 | Yuki Mochizuki | 20 |
| RadioFreeZerg | Yuki Mochizuki | 16.49 |
| Wgod3 | Yuki Mochizuki | 10.27 |
| VitMo | Yuki Mochizuki | 10 |
| 8824 | Yuki Mochizuki | 3.7 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Takuya Kumasaka and Yuki Mochizuki in the ITF Men Tokyo, originally scheduled for June 16, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Takuya Kumasaka' if Takuya Kumasaka advances against Yuki Mochizuki. This market will resolve to 'Yuki Mochizuki' if Yuki Mochizuki advances against Takuya Kumasaka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/itf-kumasak-mochizu-2026-06-17
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
