Analytics
Resolved Natsuho Arakawa on 17 Jun 2026.
$3.17K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 18, 6:05 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Mana Kawamura price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 17 Jun 2026, chart shows 62%–74%
| Observed | Mana Kawamura price |
|---|---|
| 17 Jun 2026 | 68.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| blank7633 | Mana Kawamura | 634.88 |
| Deafening-Possible | Mana Kawamura | 150 |
| giochi | Mana Kawamura | 73.53 |
| imake1mil | Mana Kawamura | 50 |
| Insubstantial-Downturn | Mana Kawamura | 35 |
| lomatic | Mana Kawamura | 29.98 |
| Warlike-Being | Mana Kawamura | 7.04 |
| antec | Mana Kawamura | 5 |
| slimjoe | Mana Kawamura | 3.03 |
| dentleightadman | Mana Kawamura | 2.9 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mana Kawamura and Natsuho Arakawa in the ITF Women Sapporo, originally scheduled for June 16, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mana Kawamura' if Mana Kawamura advances against Natsuho Arakawa. This market will resolve to 'Natsuho Arakawa' if Natsuho Arakawa advances against Mana Kawamura. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/itf-kawamur-arakawa-2026-06-17
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