Analytics
Resolved Taisei Ichikawa on 22 Oct 2026.
The last price read before settlement had Taisei Ichikawa at 85.5%. The Noah Karma side was at 38% at 21 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC, the earliest read in hand. Before it settled, across 2 price reads from 21 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC to 22 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC, the highest read was 38% on 21 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC and the lowest 14.5% on 22 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC. $201.37 traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 23, 4:46 AM UTC
6-hour closes of the Noah Karma price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 21 Oct, 18:00 UTC – 22 Oct, 06:00 UTC, chart shows 0%–50%
| Observed | Noah Karma price |
|---|---|
| 21 Oct, 18:00 UTC | 38.0% |
| 22 Oct, 06:00 UTC | 14.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| latinbi | Noah Karma | 47.71 |
| Stained-Wasabi | Noah Karma | 47.62 |
| Equal-Complaint | Noah Karma | 11.9 |
| clownly | Noah Karma | 11.19 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Noah Karma and Taisei Ichikawa in the M15 Singapore, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 10:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Noah Karma' if Noah Karma advances against Taisei Ichikawa. This market will resolve to 'Taisei Ichikawa' if Taisei Ichikawa advances against Noah Karma. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/itf-karma1-ichika2-2026-10-22
| ARTEM-DZYUBA | Noah Karma | 10.23 |
| mymilly | Noah Karma | 9.21 |
| AntonioTocino | Noah Karma | 5.9 |
| pcjones | Noah Karma | 5 |
| topdogbigboi | Noah Karma | 1.61 |
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