Analytics
Resolved Mathys Picard on 15 Oct 2026.
The last price read before settlement had Mathys Picard at 27%. The Carles Hernandez side was at 71.5% at 15 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC, the earliest read in hand. Before it settled, across 2 price reads from 15 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC to 15 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC, the highest read was 73% on 15 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC and the lowest 71.5% on 15 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC. $1.14K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 16, 2:25 PM UTC
6-hour closes of the Carles Hernandez price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 15 Oct, 06:00 UTC – 15 Oct, 12:00 UTC, chart shows 66%–78%
| Observed | Carles Hernandez price |
|---|---|
| 15 Oct, 06:00 UTC | 71.5% |
| 15 Oct, 12:00 UTC | 73.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| saturne99 | Carles Hernandez | 30 |
| Equal-Complaint | Carles Hernandez | 14.08 |
| Cobalt Pioneer ADA0 | Carles Hernandez | 5 |
| Joyous-Bassoon | Carles Hernandez |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Carles Hernandez and Mathys Picard in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carles Hernandez' if Carles Hernandez advances against Mathys Picard. This market will resolve to 'Mathys Picard' if Mathys Picard advances against Carles Hernandez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/itf-hernan1-picard1-2026-10-15
| 4.99 |
| profitlaw | Carles Hernandez | 2.21 |
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