Analytics
Resolved Dean Thurner on 25 Oct 2026.
The last price read before settlement had Dean Thurner at 93.5%. The Roberto Franchin side was at 50.5% at 25 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC, the earliest read in hand. Before it settled, across 3 price reads from 25 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC to 25 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC, the highest read was 50.5% on 25 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC and the lowest 6.5% on 25 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. $2.15K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 26, 1:52 AM UTC
6-hour closes of the Roberto Franchin price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 25 Oct, 06:00 UTC – 25 Oct, 18:00 UTC
| Observed | Roberto Franchin price |
|---|---|
| 25 Oct, 06:00 UTC | 50.5% |
| 25 Oct, 18:00 UTC | 6.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| topdogbigboi | Roberto Franchin | 581.22 |
| smithagent | Roberto Franchin | 75 |
| ferrariChampions2026 | Roberto Franchin | 56.02 |
| mizzar | Roberto Franchin |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Roberto Franchin and Dean Thurner in the M15 Selva Gardena, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Roberto Franchin' if Roberto Franchin advances against Dean Thurner. This market will resolve to 'Dean Thurner' if Dean Thurner advances against Roberto Franchin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/itf-franch3-thurne1-2026-10-25
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