Analytics
Resolved John Sperle on 10 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had John Sperle at 85.5%. The Karol Filar side opened at 43.5% on 9 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 9 Sep 2026 to 10 Sep 2026, the highest close was 43.5% on 9 Sep 2026 and the lowest 14.5% on 10 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 29 points down, to 14.5% on 10 Sep 2026. $1.57K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 11, 10:39 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Karol Filar price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 9 Sep 2026 – 10 Sep 2026, chart shows 0%–50%
| Observed | Karol Filar price |
|---|---|
| 9 Sep 2026 | 43.5% |
| 10 Sep 2026 | 14.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ferrariChampions2026 | Karol Filar | 697.39 |
| petar.sucic | Karol Filar | 155 |
| NeedForDead | Karol Filar | 141.44 |
| NM-UAT | Karol Filar | 37.56 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Karol Filar and John Sperle in the M15 Budapest, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Karol Filar' if Karol Filar advances against John Sperle. This market will resolve to 'John Sperle' if John Sperle advances against Karol Filar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/itf-filar1-sperle1-2026-09-09
| kakaoo | Karol Filar | 25.62 |
| lomatic | Karol Filar | 20 |
| koxma | Karol Filar | 15.24 |
| Derikod | Karol Filar | 3.03 |
| Secondary-Orange | Karol Filar | 1.32 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
