Analytics
Resolved Rodrigo Fernandes on 22 Oct 2026.
The last price read before settlement had Rodrigo Fernandes at 55%. The Rodrigo Fernandes side was at 55.5% at 22 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC, the earliest read in hand. Before it settled, across 2 price reads from 22 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC to 22 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC, the highest read was 55.5% on 22 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC and the lowest 55% on 22 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. $477.98 traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 23, 7:52 AM UTC
6-hour closes of the Rodrigo Fernandes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 22 Oct, 06:00 UTC – 22 Oct, 12:00 UTC, chart shows 50%–62%
| Observed | Rodrigo Fernandes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Oct, 06:00 UTC | 55.5% |
| 22 Oct, 12:00 UTC | 55.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| LuckyLoo | Mikael Arseneault | 103.81 |
| osc76 | Mikael Arseneault | 100 |
| qwewqqeq | Mikael Arseneault | 29.99 |
| 0xbfD770B7ff0 | Mikael Arseneault | 28.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Rodrigo Fernandes and Mikael Arseneault in the M15 Ithaca, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rodrigo Fernandes' if Rodrigo Fernandes advances against Mikael Arseneault. This market will resolve to 'Mikael Arseneault' if Mikael Arseneault advances against Rodrigo Fernandes. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/itf-fernan6-arsene3-2026-10-22
| podlunsek | Mikael Arseneault | 24.49 |
| AntiVaxxer | Mikael Arseneault | 10 |
| Rapid Quasar EEAE | Mikael Arseneault | 9.52 |
| tjab0n | Mikael Arseneault | 6.99 |
| ferrariChampions2026 | Mikael Arseneault | 6 |
| mymilly | Mikael Arseneault | 5.61 |
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