Analytics
Resolved Matteo Covato on 8 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Matteo Covato at 100%. The Matteo Covato side opened at 30.5% on 8 Oct 2026. Before it settled, the high was 100% on 8 Oct 2026 and the low 28.5% on 8 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 71 points up, to 100% on 8 Oct 2026. $1.44K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 9, 5:08 PM UTC
6-hour closes of the Matteo Covato price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 8 Oct, 06:00 UTC – 8 Oct, 18:00 UTC
| Observed | Matteo Covato price |
|---|---|
| 8 Oct, 06:00 UTC | 30.5% |
| 8 Oct, 18:00 UTC | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| berlinskies | Mwendwa Mbithi | 99.94 |
| YEZA | Mwendwa Mbithi | 83.33 |
| JOS9 | Mwendwa Mbithi | 83.33 |
| Immaterial-Gambling | Mwendwa Mbithi | 35 |
| Pan9X | Mwendwa Mbithi | 25 |
| Disguised-Pickax-Fetus | Mwendwa Mbithi | 13.16 |
| 217ed1d327cecbe49dd433a45d66c5b1c511e5e9 | Mwendwa Mbithi | 10 |
| ezp-gk-16 | Mwendwa Mbithi | 6 |
| reaaln | Mwendwa Mbithi | 5.34 |
| Vigilant-Environment | Mwendwa Mbithi | 1.14 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Matteo Covato and Mwendwa Mbithi in the M15 Quito, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Covato' if Matteo Covato advances against Mwendwa Mbithi. This market will resolve to 'Mwendwa Mbithi' if Mwendwa Mbithi advances against Matteo Covato. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/itf-covato1-mbithi1-2026-10-08
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