Analytics
Resolved Nicolas Arseneault on 21 Oct 2026.
The last price read before settlement had Nicolas Arseneault at 56.5%. The Tomasz Berkieta side was at 46% at 21 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC, the earliest read in hand. Before it settled, across 3 price reads from 21 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC to 21 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC, the highest read was 46% on 21 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC and the lowest 43.5% on 21 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. $524.66 traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 22, 8:22 PM UTC
6-hour closes of the Tomasz Berkieta price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 21 Oct, 06:00 UTC – 21 Oct, 18:00 UTC, chart shows 35%–50%
| Observed | Tomasz Berkieta price |
|---|---|
| 21 Oct, 06:00 UTC | 46.0% |
| 21 Oct, 18:00 UTC | 43.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| UpTheBlues | Tomasz Berkieta | 140 |
| Swift Signal F1D2 | Tomasz Berkieta | 86.21 |
| nuxxor4 | Tomasz Berkieta | 40.98 |
| rugmoney | Tomasz Berkieta | 34.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tomasz Berkieta and Nicolas Arseneault in the M15 Ithaca, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tomasz Berkieta' if Tomasz Berkieta advances against Nicolas Arseneault. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Arseneault' if Nicolas Arseneault advances against Tomasz Berkieta. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/itf-berkie1-arsene2-2026-10-21
| clownly | Tomasz Berkieta | 31.51 |
| faringeyt | Tomasz Berkieta | 31.13 |
| TheRomanProcurator | Tomasz Berkieta | 18.12 |
| Gptball | Tomasz Berkieta | 16.78 |
| noclevername | Tomasz Berkieta | 8.79 |
| Trusting-Swim | Tomasz Berkieta | 6.09 |
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