Analytics
Resolved Mikael Arseneault on 20 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Mikael Arseneault at 65.5%. The Mikael Arseneault side opened at 62.5% on 20 Oct 2026. Before it settled, the high was 65.5% on 20 Oct 2026 and the low 62.5% on 20 Oct 2026. $3.07K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 21, 6:21 AM UTC
6-hour closes of the Mikael Arseneault price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 20 Oct, 06:00 UTC – 20 Oct, 18:00 UTC, chart shows 58%–70%
| Observed | Mikael Arseneault price |
|---|---|
| 20 Oct, 06:00 UTC | 62.5% |
| 20 Oct, 18:00 UTC | 65.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| don7tryx | Matt Kuhar | 1.51K |
| SingName | Matt Kuhar | 500 |
| carpe-noctem | Matt Kuhar | 495.22 |
| gusishere | Matt Kuhar | 17.46 |
| RadioFreeZerg | Mikael Arseneault | 0.13 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Mikael Arseneault and Matt Kuhar in the M15 Ithaca, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mikael Arseneault' if Mikael Arseneault advances against Matt Kuhar. This market will resolve to 'Matt Kuhar' if Matt Kuhar advances against Mikael Arseneault. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/itf-arsene3-kuhar1-2026-10-20
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