Analytics
Resolved Ariana Arseneault on 16 Oct 2026.
The last price read before settlement had Ariana Arseneault at 38.5%. The Ayana Akli side was at 59.5% at 16 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC, the earliest read in hand. Before it settled, across 2 price reads from 16 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC to 16 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC, the highest read was 61.5% on 16 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC and the lowest 59.5% on 16 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC. $4.74K traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 17, 5:45 PM UTC
6-hour closes of the Ayana Akli price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 16 Oct, 06:00 UTC – 16 Oct, 12:00 UTC, chart shows 54%–66%
| Observed | Ayana Akli price |
|---|---|
| 16 Oct, 06:00 UTC | 59.5% |
| 16 Oct, 12:00 UTC | 61.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| CandleHammerDrums | Ayana Akli | 942.35 |
| oliverea | Ayana Akli | 500 |
| Crovax | Ayana Akli | 155 |
| topdogbigboi | Ayana Akli | 110.12 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ayana Akli and Ariana Arseneault in the W50 Quebec City, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ayana Akli' if Ayana Akli advances against Ariana Arseneault. This market will resolve to 'Ariana Arseneault' if Ariana Arseneault advances against Ayana Akli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/itf-akli1-arsene1-2026-10-16
| wiessmann | Ayana Akli | 99.5 |
| stkomeghivott | Ayana Akli | 50 |
| Sweaty-Wasabi | Ayana Akli | 50 |
| paulaoofc | Ayana Akli | 38.71 |
| leectram2 | Ayana Akli | 25.53 |
| Ryancharran47 | Ayana Akli | 24.19 |
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