Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 9.5% on 12 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 20 daily closes on record from 12 Nov 2025 to 1 Dec 2025, the highest close was 9.5% on 12 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.4% on 1 Dec 2025. $5.44K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 18, 3:16 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 20 points, 12 Nov 2025 – 1 Dec 2025, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Nov 2025 | 9.5% |
| 1 Dec 2025 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 00000000AAAAAAAA | Yes | 1.35K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 1.09K |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 192 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 173 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official security agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed deal between the governments of Israel and Syria by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market refers only to agreements which directly address border security and demarcation, normalization, or diplomatic recognition or otherwise creates a formalized security framework between the two states. Ceasefire announcements or other announced de-escalations such as those relating to the July 16-18 skirmishes with the Druze, or any other future military engagements, which do not address the broader security relationship will not qualify. Only deals which are officially announced will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a formalized agreement will not count. The primary resolution source will be official statements from the Israeli and Syrian governments. However, an agreement which is announced by only of the parties will qualify if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that such a formal agreement has been reached.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/israel-x-syria-security-agreement-by-september-30
| Toto127 | Yes | 152.75 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 138 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 117 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 86 |
| Full-Capital | Yes | 37.5 |
| DFarm | Yes | 14 |
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