Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Mar 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.5%. Yes opened at 18.5% on 28 Feb 2024. Before it settled, the high was 18.5% on 28 Feb 2024 and the low 1.3% on 3 Mar 2024. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 6.5% on 29 Feb 2024. $28.35K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 26, 2:59 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 7 points · 28 Feb 2024 – 5 Mar 2024 · axis zoomed to 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Feb 2024 | 18.5% |
| 5 Mar 2024 | 1.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Ancountless | No | 0.08 |
| Retired-Mentat | No | 0.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
On February 26, President Joe Biden stated that he was hopeful that a Gaza ceasefire would be reached by Monday. This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Israel and Hamas between February 26, 11:00 AM ET and March 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. An official ceasefire agreement requires public recognition by both parties. Any form of informal, unratified, or verbal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. The ceasefire must last at least 24 hours and have begun before the resolution date. For example, if the ceasefire begins on March 3, this market would resolve to "Yes" if the ceasefire continues for 24 hours. This market's resolution will be based on official government announcements from both Israel and Hamas, or reports from credible media sources.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-by-monday
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