Analytics
Paper trading
Resolved No on 1 Feb 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 2.4% on 7 Jan 2025. Before it settled, the high was 3.1% on 20 Jan 2025 and the low 0.1% on 1 Feb 2025. $49.9K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 1, 1:26 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 26 points, 7 Jan 2025 – 1 Feb 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Jan 2025 | 2.4% |
| 1 Feb 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| density | Yes | 30.3 |
| closedonlymode20250119 | Yes | 1 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if either Israel or Egypt formally announces that they have suspended diplomatic relations with with the other by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the Israeli or Egyptian government, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/israel-x-egypt-sever-diplomatic-relations-before-february
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