Analytics
Resolved Yes on 18 Jun 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 96.8%. Yes opened at 67.5% on 14 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 14 Jun 2025 to 18 Jun 2025, the highest close was 96.8% on 18 Jun 2025 and the lowest 67.5% on 14 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 16 points up, to 90% on 16 Jun 2025. $499.64K traded over the market's life.
88 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 19, 4:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 14 Jun 2025 – 18 Jun 2025, chart shows 60%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Jun 2025 | 67.5% |
| 18 Jun 2025 | 96.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Tcommonsensican | No | 41.73K |
| Forthemoney5 | No | 10K |
| Princeamir | No | 4.87K |
| BigDickRandy1 | No | 3.43K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on the likelihood and timing of an Israeli military strike on Iran.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/israel-strike-on-iran-on
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Kaid | No | 2.5K |
| WhiteLivesMatter | No | 2.5K |
| Abahshdudhw050005000500bahaudhdb | No | 2K |
| Timppa | No | 1.95K |
| yourmaamaaman | No | 1.68K |
| nige2 | No | 1.05K |
