Analytics
Resolved Yes on 16 Jun 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.2%. Yes opened at 82.5% on 14 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 14 Jun 2025 to 16 Jun 2025, the highest close was 99.2% on 16 Jun 2025 and the lowest 82.5% on 14 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 10 points up, to 99.2% on 16 Jun 2025. $393.5K traded over the market's life.
41 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 17, 4:25 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 14 Jun 2025 – 16 Jun 2025, chart shows 75%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Jun 2025 | 82.5% |
| 16 Jun 2025 | 99.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| GayPride | No | 7.18K |
| Abahshdudhw050005000500bahaudhdb | No | 3.25K |
| IONUT | No | 2.58K |
| dbsdbs | No | 2.17K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on the likelihood and timing of an Israeli military strike on Iran.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/israel-strike-on-iran-on
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| yongsikismine | No | 1.5K |
| bradpittoftheoffice | No | 1K |
| Mahalex4 | No | 842.58 |
| lordvoldemort | No | 621.62 |
| hawktuah | No | 602.38 |
| Rojer88 | No | 525.66 |
