Analytics
Resolved No on 1 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 22% on 1 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 31 daily closes on record from 1 Apr 2025 to 1 May 2025, the highest close was 22% on 1 Apr 2025 and the lowest 0.5% on 1 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 7 points down, to 15% on 2 Apr 2025. $30.37K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 2, 4:20 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 31 points, 1 Apr 2025 – 1 May 2025, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Apr 2025 | 22.0% |
| 1 May 2025 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| WhitneyHouston | Yes | 5.07 |
| Karekken | No | 0.04 |
| Aquati | No | 0.01 |
| SuARas | No | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a military action on Yemeni soil, airspace, or maritime territory between March 31, 2025, and April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a "military action" will be considered to be any use of force executed by Israel on Yemeni soil, airspace, or maritime territory (e.g. if a weapons depot on Yemeni soil is subject to an Israeli missile strike, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market. In the case that the "Yes" resolution criteria are met prior to this market's resolution date, this market will resolve immediately. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/israel-retaliates-against-houthis-before-may
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