Analytics
Resolved No on 11 Mar 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99%. Yes opened at 37.5% on 21 Feb 2024. Before it settled, the high was 60% on 28 Feb 2024 and the low 1.1% on 11 Mar 2024. Its largest one-day move was 15 points up, to 56.5% on 23 Feb 2024. $38.91K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 26, 3:00 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 20 points · 21 Feb 2024 – 11 Mar 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Feb 2024 | 37.5% |
| 11 Mar 2024 | 1.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| pedagang1000 | Yes | 9.09 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
On Feb 18, member of Israeli War Cabinet Benny Gantz said "The world must know — and Hamas leaders must know — that if by Ramadan the hostages are not home, then the fighting will continue, including in Rafah." This market will resolve to "Yes” Israel and Hamas agree to a hostage deal by 11:59 PM Palestine Standard Time (UTC +2), March 10, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that an announcement by the resolution date of an agreed hostage deal between Israel and Hamas will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when and if the hostage deal actually takes place. Note that any hostage deal agreement will suffice, regardless of the number of hostages agreed to be released. The primary resolution source will be formal acknowledgments from Hamas and Israel. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/israel-hamas-hostage-deal-by-ramadan
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