Analytics
Resolved No on 24 Feb 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.9%. Yes opened at 42.5% on 17 Feb 2024. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 17 Feb 2024 to 24 Feb 2024, the highest close was 42.5% on 17 Feb 2024 and the lowest 0.9% on 21 Feb 2024. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 5% on 20 Feb 2024. $20.51K traded over the market's life.
Polymarket record as of Apr 26, 2:53 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 17 Feb 2024 – 24 Feb 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Feb 2024 | 42.5% |
| 24 Feb 2024 | 1.1% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if by February 23, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, the New York Times or WSJ reports that Israel has initiated a ground offensive within Rafah. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Reports of small raids or special operations will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes." The resolution source of this market will be reporting from the New York Times or the Wall Street Journal.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/israel-ground-offensive-in-rafah-by-next-friday
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