Analytics
Resolved No on 20 Apr 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 18% on 9 Apr 2024. Before it settled, across the 12 daily closes on record from 9 Apr 2024 to 20 Apr 2024, the highest close was 18% on 9 Apr 2024 and the lowest 0.3% on 20 Apr 2024. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 8% on 10 Apr 2024. $7.32K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 7, 11:09 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 9 Apr 2024 – 20 Apr 2024, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Apr 2024 | 18.0% |
| 20 Apr 2024 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.1K |
| 34f76d8926e290af0 | Yes | 185.25 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
1111
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/israel-ground-offensive-in-rafah-when
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