- What is the “Israel false flag attack confirmed?” market asking?
- It asks whether the following will happen: Israel false flag attack confirmed? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
- What do the Yes and No prices mean?
- At the last observation Yes traded at 50.0¢ and No at 50.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 50.0% for Yes and 50.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
- When does this market close?
- Trading ended on Apr 30, 2026. The venue has not yet reported the resolution, so the market is shown as awaiting resolution rather than resolved.
- How does this market resolve?
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is confirmed by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that Israel, between February 28, 2026, 12:00am ET and March 2, 2026, 11:59pm ET, carried out, or attempted to carry out, a false-flag attack within the territory of a Listed Gulf State. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A “false-flag attack” is defined as a hostile cover military intelligence operation deliberately designed to appear as though it was conducted by another actor. Official confirmation from a listed Gulf State that Israel carried out or attempted such an action within its territory…
- What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?
- 24h volume ($1.02) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
