Analytics
Resolved No on 9 Apr 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.2%. Yes opened at 25.5% on 6 Apr 2024. Before it settled, the high was 25.5% on 6 Apr 2024 and the low 0.9% on 9 Apr 2024. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 5% on 8 Apr 2024. $20.25K traded over the market's life.
Polymarket record as of May 7, 11:09 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 4 points · 6 Apr 2024 – 9 Apr 2024 · axis zoomed to 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Apr 2024 | 25.5% |
| 9 Apr 2024 | 0.9% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
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On April 1, 2024, it was reported Israel bombed an Iranian consulate in Syria, killing a senior commander of Iran's Revolutionary Guards Corps. Iran promised a "decisive response". This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is an Iranian response to Israel's bombing of the Iranian consulate in Syria by April 8, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” A response by Iran refers to action(s) carried out by Iran that are explicitly in response to Israel's bombing of the Iranian consulate in Syria, which may include strikes, cyber attacks, sanctions, etc. Only responses by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks on Israel by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/iran-response-to-israel-by-monday
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