Analytics
Resolved Yes on 14 Apr 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 98.9%. Yes opened at 70% on 13 Apr 2024. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 13 Apr 2024 to 14 Apr 2024, the highest close was 98.9% on 14 Apr 2024 and the lowest 70% on 13 Apr 2024. Its largest one-day move was 29 points up, to 98.9% on 14 Apr 2024. $15.67K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 7, 11:10 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 13 Apr 2024 – 14 Apr 2024, chart shows 60%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Apr 2024 | 70.0% |
| 14 Apr 2024 | 98.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Gullible-Gift | No | 1.61 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
On April 1, 2024, it was reported Israel bombed an Iranian consulate in Syria, killing a senior commander of Iran's Revolutionary Guards Corps. Iran promised a "decisive response". This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is an Iranian response to Israel's bombing of the Iranian consulate in Syria by April 19, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” A response by Iran refers to action(s) carried out by Iran that are explicitly in response to Israel's bombing of the Iranian consulate in Syria, which may include strikes, cyber attacks, sanctions, etc. Only responses by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks on Israel by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/iran-response-to-israel-by-april-19
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